Thursday, December 29, 2011

India At MCG 2011-12 - Review

Australia beat India in four days by 122 runs at the MCG. It was India's 5th consecutive overseas defeat, and their fifth consecutive defeat against Australia at MCG. Since Sachin Tendulkar started playing for India, India have lost 5 times out of 5 at the MCG. At no other overseas ground is India's record as bad as it is at the MCG. Lord's and the Kensington Oval at Barbados are close seconds - India have lost three out of 4 Tests there. But the MCG, be it the first Test of the series (a traditional weakness with India) or otherwise, has always brought defeat.



The wicket for this Test Match was deceptive. Despite the bright sunshine there was movement on offer off the wicket, with both new and old ball, even off a good length (as Gautam Gambhir will testify). I remember reading a report after Australia were bowled out for 333 in their first innings which quoted an Australian player (i am unable to find the link, would appreciate it if you could pass it on if you know of it) saying that it was not the sort of wicket on which any batsman could get on top of the bowling. This, in retrospect proved to be correct. The one exception was Sachin Tendulkar late on the second day. He made the wicket look flatter than it was through sure footwork, a full forward stride to the fuller balls, and a preference for offering the full face of the bat as often as possible. Until he was dismissed by a truly classic off cutter (bowled at high pace), India were ascendant. After he was dismissed, India never recovered. It was batsmanship of some genius.

There are many ways to look at the MCG Test. One could say that India's batsmen are suspect against the moving ball. But all batsmen are suspect against the moving ball. Look at the scores in recent Test Matches around the world. Look at Australia's batting in this Test - they scored 333 and 240 in the two innings at the MCG, and the telling runs, one could argue, came from Peter Siddle, James Pattinson and Ben Hilfenhaus who made 136 runs in their six innings at the MCG (the margin of victory was 122 runs). India's top 6 produced three half centuries in the match, Australia's top six produced four. Australia's top 6 produced six single digit scores, while India's top six produced four.

Nevertheless, there are clear problems with India's line up (there are with Australia's as well, but lets focus on India, since India lost. I encourage you however to think about whether the things that I will say about India's batsmen cannot be said about Australia's players). The only two batsmen at the MCG who don't have any obvious problems of form or technique, are Sachin Tendulkar and Michael Hussey. Both Rahul Dravid and Ricky Ponting have their problems. Virender Sehwag and David Warner have a similar penchant for the outrageous stroke amidst periods of relative normalcy.

Gautam Gambhir seems to have a technical problem around off stump. This is a problem that has crept into his batting because of his penchant for the short single, for which he typically plays the ball not with a straight bat, but with either and open face or an angled bat (i.e, neither vertical, nor horizontal). Quite apart from not giving oneself the best chance of meeting the ball with most of the bat, as opposed to edge, this style of play has one additional problem - it encourages one to play at balls which can easily be left alone. In ODI cricket, leaving these balls alone is a terrible idea, but in Tests, the risk equation changes, and it is better to leave these balls alone. The Gautam Gambhir who played so well in South Africa in 2010-11 against Dale Steyn and Morne Morkel, was leaving the ball outside off stump in exemplary fashion. On difficult wickets like Melbourne, this shortcoming gets emphasized and has been ruthlessly exploited by the Australians.

VVS Laxman, by virtue of his style, is not best suited to wickets where the ball moves consistently off the seam. He rarely uses a full forward stride, the key to covering the small amounts of seam movement that can otherwise be so lethal.

Virat Kohli is still an unknown quantity. It goes without saying that he needs to play far more tightly than he does. The batsman with the tightest technique in 2011 has been Alistair Cook, whose discipline has been exemplary. Kohli, like a number of other batsmen recently, seems quite happy to play at balls far out in front of his pads, or far away from his body, even when he's not playing a full blooded attacking shot. His dismissal in the first innings was a classic case of this. His first ball dismissal in the second was somewhat related to this tendency - to not play the ball late and very close to the pads. Kohli was playing well out in front of the pads, and across the line as well. As a matter of habit, his first instinct seems to be to push out and meet the ball with the bat, instead of playing late.

VVS Laxman and Rahul Dravid have both built their careers on this idea - the idea of playing the ball late and close to the pads in defense. It is easier for batsmen to disturb VVS's defense than it is to disturb Dravid's. But the manner of Dravid's dismissals - he kept getting caught on the crease to relative full deliveries, and missing them, suggests to me that the great man's career is very close to its end. Flat wickets will mask this defect, but I doubt that Dravid will be satisfied with this. He has always had a tendency to play from the crease, but his eye and balance have always been good enough for him to meet the ball just under his eyes, even if he wasn't fully forward. The bat always came down straight, and this, I think, was a function of his eye. Dravid's first innings dismissal, in the first over of the third days play was less of a problem than his second innings dismissal.

Nothing much can be said about Sehwag. He is Cricket's quintessential Other (as an anthropologist might say) - a batsman, in whose case a significant effort is required to locate a rationality in his strangeness, for conventional cricketing rationality does not explain his success.

Australia have similar problems with their batting.

The difference in this game was in the bowling. Now, it is important to understand here, that a bowling attack can be the reason for a defeat without being at fault for it. India's fast bowling is structurally weaker than Australia's, and this shows. Both Ishant Sharma and Umesh Yadav bowled well in this Test, Yadav did better than Ishant by most conventional measures. But they were both erratic. Both had a tendency to bowl bad balls. By contrast, Australia three fast men (who are by no means the three best fast bowlers in Australia right now) bowled very few bad balls, and if they erred, tended to err on the fuller side than on the shorter side. This is part of the reason why the Australian tail did better than India's. Australia's three fast men are also better equipped to attack the stumps. Ishant Sharma seems to have found an extra yard or two of pace in the past few months, and that is a wonderful thing.

The pace attack that India fielded in this Test was by far and away the most impressive one their have fielded in a very long time, possibly ever. Zaheer is now a great fast bowler. But this observation merely serves to highlight the structural shortcomings of India's cricket as far as fast bowling is concerned. Basically, any bowler in India who demonstrates an ability to bowl quick - in the 85-90 mph (136-145 Kph) range, is picked to play for India. Contrast this with Peter Siddle (twice as many first class games as Tests) and Ryan Harris (four times as many first class games as Tests). Ishant Sharma has played 42 Tests out of 64 first class games.

India's fast bowling structure is improving. This improvement is not going to bring results overnight. But the point is, while it is improving, its shortcomings are going to hurt India's results. If one looks at the larger picture, India have competed better overseas in recent times than they did in the 90s and early 2000s. This is because the fast bowling has improved compared to those periods. But it is still far weaker than fast bowling in say Australia, England or South Africa. Playing on flat wickets in India, while it has merit for other reasons, does not help the development of India's fast bowling.

So the argument, which seems to me to be quite popular, that the batsmen are such superstars and have so much experience, and hence should make up for the shortcomings in the bowling department, has no cricketing merit. It has nothing to do with cricket, but everything to do with some narrow transactional notion the equates experience with impact while ignoring complications like the structural limits (of the cricketing contest) imposed by conditions etc. The batsmen can't make up for the shortcomings of the bowlers beyond a certain point.

Having said that, I think the MCG Test was a much more closely fought than the score line suggests. Had the toss gone the other way, I think India would have won. It is much harder to bat in the 4th innings than in the 3rd, especially once you have a first innings lead. I think this is even truer in Australia's case given the unsettled nature of their top 3 batting positions. Even after Australia batted first, tighter fast bowling from India, especially to the Australian tail might well have limited the Australian tail and Australia's first innings score, which was about 50 runs too many, subsequently required Australia to attack differently, and possibly defend more than they had to earlier in India's first innings. It might have been the difference between a 4th innings chase of 180-200 and one of 294.

It would be remiss to end a review of the MCG Test without one last observation. A star has been born at the MCG. James Pattinson has demonstrated an ability to bowl fast, with rare control for someone in only his third Test Match. Yes, to be considered a top quality fast bowler Pattinson will have to bowl well in India as Donald, McGrath and Steyn before him have. But the polish of Pattinson's performance is easily contrasted with the rawness of Umesh Yadav's talent. Since Craig McDermott was made Australia's bowling coach, their fast bowling has gotten significantly deeper and faster. The arrival of Pattinson, along with the genuinely quick Pat Cummins augurs well for Australia.

That is the road to the top of Test Cricket. A deep bench of fast, hostile bowlers who can move the ball in the air and off the wicket off a fullish length at high pace. That is the one unanswerable weapon in Cricket. Even the best techniques will eventually be breached if this type of bowling can be produced relentlessly on wickets which are not flat (which most wickets outside India aren't).

As long as India have Zaheer Khan in their ranks, they will compete. Australia's middle order will have to be breached, but it is unlikely to produce mammoth scores against this line up. But it will produce competitive scores as long as Australia's fast bowlers produce situations in which the batsmen do not have to bat for survival, but to set up matches.

Australia have won a classical Home victory at the MCG, but the teams are evenly matched. A close series in still on the cards.

19 comments:

  1. Very good analysis except that you haven't mentioned Dhoni's less than ordinary captaincy. I don't really expect Dhoni the batsman to perform as well as Dhoni the captain. He has failed to inspire the team with ordinary field placements allowing batsmen to take singles and thereby settle down very easily.

    Expect a better Dhoni for the rest of the series else it will be a repeat of England series :(

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  2. KD,

    Your point on batsmen not compensating for bowling deficiencies having no cricketing merit is valid. Nevertheless at a stage in the first innings, where we were 213/3 -- losing the rest 7 wickets for 70 odd runs is unacceptable.

    We did the same in England too and we lost the first Test at Lords. I agree that playing the moving/seaming ball is difficult and all batsmen will struggle. But the good ones try to put up a fight, not surrender. Once you grind the bowler enough, they will get tired and give runs. Bowlers are not machines, they will wear down.

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  3. Spot on with the review. But you didn't say much about the batting of Dhoni & Sehwag. As Rohit is also a favorite for the No:6 spot Kohli will seriously work on his batting and he has time. But Sehwag's & Dhoni's places are granted for them, Dhoni being the captain. Sehwag played a reckless shot in the 2nd innings while all he had to do was batout the session. It is OK to play his natural game but what an opportunity lost. We have Mukund, Rahane, Pujara and a lot of youngsters waiting with limited opportunities. Same with Dhoni. He needs to play a "Captains knock" in Tests very soon.

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  4. Bhanu,
    I didn't mention Dhoni's captaincy for a couple of reasons - first, I don't know how to assess it, and second, I therefore don't know the extent to which it matters, or even what it actually amounts to. Captains are as good as their teams, and the consequences of "captaincy", which, as far as I can tell refers to tactical choices with respect to field settings and bowling options, have only marginal impact on outcomes.

    Point_to_Cover,
    Im afraid I don't understand what you mean by "surrender". Either batsmen are dismissed, or they are not. As I understand it, batsmen do not have the option of surrendering their wickets in a Test, other than by declaring themselves out. And none of India's batsmen did this.

    But if you are referring to the tendency to play a lot of shots, and to play too easily away from the body, or too far in front of the pads, I think I spent a lot of time on this in the review. This is a tactical proposition, not one about a willingness to "fight". I try to stay away from these kinds of character judgments about cricketers.

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  5. somebody has to figure why only the Indian batting line up collapses dramatically most of the times? What might the reason be?

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  6. ".......fast, hostile bowlers who can move the ball in the air and off the wicket off a fullish length at high pace. That is the one unanswerable weapon in Cricket."....This is one profound sentence which got me thinking all day today....This series is far from over as you said, and India can get back in it. We will have to improve though, as I can also see the Aussies getting better, especially with the bat.

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  7. sad india lost whn they had d chance 2 make history :(..ur analysis is awesome :)

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  8. /*Either batsmen are dismissed, or they are not. As I understand it, batsmen do not have the option of surrendering their wickets in a Test, other than by declaring themselves out. And none of India's batsmen did this.*/

    Noted the sarcasm. My point is they lost their wickets cheaply, especially in the first innings. VVS Laxman, Dhoni and Kohli got out through edgy shots in the first innings. Ignore Kohli as he is inexperienced. If we had at least one of the two experienced men spend sufficient time at the crease and score some runs, we wouldn't have had a deficit to start with.

    Laxman averages 49 in Australia and he has played tougher attacks than the current one. To claim that there is an inherent deficiency in his technique that will never allow him to play in seaming conditions ever is an astounding claim. Could you provide data to support such an assertion?

    /* This is a tactical proposition, not one about a willingness to "fight". I try to stay away from these kinds of character judgments about cricketers. */

    I am not judging the character of these cricketers as you claim. I am asking them to grind the opposition when they are on the attack. An intelligent batsman can test the bowler's patience and tire him down, given sufficient time. Time is not a concern in Test cricket, so I expect the batsmen to play accordingly. I don't think this is an unreasonable expectation.

    Cricket is not just about technical analysis, there's the mental toughness aspect as well.

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  9. I completely agree that cricket is not just about technical analysis. But how can a batsman "grind the opposition"? Sure, only through technical virtuosity. And I have addressed what this technical virtuosity might amount to.

    So yes, I agree that batsmen need to "grind the opposition", but as I wrote in the post, I think this is possible only by being technical tighter.

    One has to keep in mind though, that one tactical position has always been, that on pitches where the ball is moving off the wicket, one if far better off playing shots, since one never knows when the unplayable ball will come around.

    I disagree that VVS has played on tougher tracks than this one. I think the bowling at MCG 2011 has been the best Australia have fielded against India at any time since the 1999-00 tour. The 2003-04 tour saw flat wickets at Sydney and Adelaide, and weakened Australian attack, which, before India toured was made to work for its wickets by Zimbabwe. The 2007-08 tour saw an Australian attack with one world class bowler - Stuart Clark, who wasn't particularly quick, and one genuinely quick bowler - Brett Lee, who relied on the classical fast bowlers tactic of bowling either very full or short, not the fullish length that Craig McDermott has convinced these bowlers will work, and made them bowl relentlessly.

    Finally, I don't think VVS Laxman or MS Dhoni is mentally weak. They have (and always have had) technical limitations which make them very vulnerable against certain kinds of bowling on certain kinds of wickets.

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  10. I agree, thin was a green top!!maybe planned and a testimony to the liveliness of the pitch is that even the aussies failed to get going in their own backyard.Nothing has changed,we'r still dependent on Dravid or Sachin to bail us out everytime.I won't be surprised that India fails to win a single test,unlike ofcourse we'r offered a turner..a very unlike probability!

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  11. /* But how can a batsman "grind the opposition"? Sure, only through technical virtuosity. */

    Not always.

    One can get through a torturous phase of bowling through sheer grit. Example: Steve Waugh's 104 ball 63 against a hostile West Indies attack comprising Ambrose and Walsh. In fact, Waugh rates that as the best knock of his career in his autobiography, not for the technical aspect of it -- but the kind of mental concentration it demanded off him.

    Having the right mindset during the game will take a player farther than what he can achieve through just technique. I think this matters as much if not more at the highest level.

    /* I disagree that VVS has played on tougher tracks than this one.*/

    Let's say that each pitch brings its own set of challenges and leave it at that. I don't think this pitch posed difficulty; it wasn't a hostile pitch by any means.

    The Aussie bowling posed the difficulty - which a batsman can get through a phase and start scoring runs.

    Overall, as much as I can credit Aussie bowlers for their consistency and perseverance, I think our batsmen were more than capable to withstand what they brought, especially in the first innings. Which is why I think our batting is the primary reason we lost the match (even Dhoni admitted this in the press conference).

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  12. What does "sheer grit" mean? Waugh survived because he was lucky, not merely because he "willed" balls to miss the edge of his bat. Yeah, he didn't do anything stupid - i.e. he didn't get any outside edges. This doesn't mean that he didn't play and miss or anything like that.

    I don't think its a problem of concentration for VVS or Dhoni or Kohli. Its a problem of being technically limited and being found out.

    There's a difference between facing short bowling, aimed at the body for the most part, and having to defend your off stump ball after ball.

    All this stuff you are saying - "get through a phase", "sheer grit" - those are all just words that describe other words.

    "Concentration" is an idea that becomes apparent after the fact. You see a batsman bat for six hours and do the same thing, respond consistently to the same type of deliveries, and not play rashly, and you conclude that he possess the ability to concentrate for long periods of time. But a batsman who does not have the footwork to counter late movement (either off the pitch or in the air), is not going to survive no matter how hard he concentrates, without some luck (even players with the footwork to counter the moving ball at pace are unlikely to survive without some good fortune).

    Its the same with the idea of a "mindset". These are descriptors that are only available after the fact - they are not generative.

    For that matter, even technique is something that is knowable only after the fact, except, in the case of technique, you can actually see, for every single delivery, whether a batsman is pushing out beyond his pads, or playing close to them. You can actually observe whether a batsman is playing late, or early. These are things you can see. "Mindsets" and "Concentration" are not visible or available to an observers senses in any comparable way.

    As for data to support the claim that VVS's technique makes it difficult for him to make runs against certain types of bowling in certain types of conditions - sure, there's plenty. Look at VVS's record in South Africa (never made a Test hundred there, averages 40), England (same story, average 34) and New Zealand (average 40, with one unbeaten century, made on the last day of a Test in which the wicket was so flat, that New Zealand made 600+ and still didn't win, despite India needing to bat 2 days to save the match).

    Further, I said nothing about this pitch being "hostile" - you seem to confuse physical danger - the danger of getting hit - a danger which makes a batsman diffident about covering the line of the ball - with a much more subtle problem, the problem of late movement.

    I don't think any of India's batsmen lack courage. That is an old canard.

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  13. /* All this stuff you are saying - "get through a phase", "sheer grit" - those are all just words that describe other words.*/

    Not really. I admit what I'm talking about is subjective, it is not as objective as your technical analysis but equally valid. I have only the English language to communicate what I'm saying and it *may* sound vague to an objective mind, nevertheless the factor is still there.

    /* But a batsman who does not have the footwork to counter late movement (either off the pitch or in the air), is not going to survive no matter how hard he concentrates, without some luck (even players with the footwork to counter the moving ball at pace are unlikely to survive without some good fortune).*/

    No your analysis is very static, in the sense you are making everything else to be equal. For instance, Sehwag's lack of footwork is very well known. Nevertheless, he can still play his shots on any pitch because of his tremendous reflex and eye. So even an obvious technical deficiency can be overcome, if the batsman understands his own strength and weaknesses very well.

    Introspection of one's own game and therefore figuring out where one went wrong is a very important and has a subjective element in cricket.

    /* Its the same with the idea of a "mindset". These are descriptors that are only available after the fact - they are not generative.*/

    You're needlessly making it too complicated. Either way, they are not generative to an "objective observer" but they are generative for the cricketer himself. So many cricketers talk about having the right mindset when playing. Obviously their own mindset is a "generative factor" for their game.

    /* I don't think any of India's batsmen lack courage. That is an old canard. */

    I'm not stating they don't have courage. I'm saying that they weren't in the right mindset. Each format requires the batsman to adapt their mindset prior to playing.

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  14. Clear, informative, simple. Like your post!

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  15. The only one out of Sachin, Dravid and Laxman who is looking good to continue in the team in 2013 is Sachin. Dravid's recent form basically reminds me that old thing about the candle that burns brightest before it goes out. The only reason that Laxman especially keeps getting picked is because the young batsmen like Kohli,Mukund and Vijay did not grab their chance when it came.
    Compare the situation with the bowling and batting.
    Sachin, Sehwag and Gambhir missed the WI tour, but none of the young batsmen made the same impact that the new bowlers like Yadav and Ashwin have made for India.
    If Laxman cannot score at the SCG he is going to be lacking in confidence come Perth.
    If India lose this series it will be difficult to counter the clamor to drop Laxman and Dravid will probably retire on his own if he does not perform in the remaining 3 Tests.
    All in all it is hard to see Laxman in the team in 2013, especially if Laxman keeps failing and Dravid continues to keep scoring runs.

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  16. @ kartikeya

    VVS might not have a 100 in south africa but he has made a match saving or match winning contribution every time has gone there!.Remember three contributions of his in possibly the toughest conditions India had received during the respective tours

    1)89 in Port elizabeth when the team was in tatters(2001)
    2)Substantial contribution in the 1st innings and 78 in the 2nd at jo'berg,2006
    3)38 and 97 in durban,2010.Again when the team was in a bit of trife!.

    He also made 50's in both gabba and perth which had something for the bowlers!.And even in this english tour,looked very comfortable till the 2nd test!.

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  17. He is definitely not a sitting duck in those conditions and its unfair to put him aside dhoni who has miles to go to establish a reputation of a quality batsman overseas.

    And by the way.Lee was australia's best bowler in 2007.And he bowled much fuller than he had ever done.

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  18. I agree that its unfair to put him next to Dhoni. Also, yes, VVS has made runs in these conditions and he's good enough to average 30-35 in these conditions, but he's not good enough to average 45-50 in these conditions (neither is Sehwag) in the way that Dravid and Tendulkar are, because they have better techniques.

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  19. @ kartikeya

    Strangely though,VVs averaged the highest in south africa of all the Indian batsmen only to be surpassed by sachin in the 2010/11 series.He still averages in the 40's.

    In constrast,dravid's average has plummeted to the late 20's I think.It hasnt helped him that his last 2 tours to south africa coincided with his worst patch of form.

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